Monthly Archives: January 2018

NFL Divisional Round Predictions

This is always described of the best weekend of the NFL season–The DIvisional Round.  The Great 8, the best of the league for this season and once gone you realize there are only 3 more games left in the season.  Last weekend all 4 underdogs covered the game with 2 winning outright and the other 2 had legitimate chances to win the game.  What will this weekend show.

 

Falcons Eagles

The Line: Falcons -3  41

To say the Eagles are getting no respect would be an under statement.  As the number 1 seed they are underdogs at home to the defending NFC champion Falcons.  Before we go crazy if Carson Wentz would be playing the line would be 3 the other way.  But Wentz is out and this could derail the Eagles once mighty super bowl chances.  The Falcons have not been the same team they were last year and perhaps they are turning it on at the right time.  I am not a believer in the Falcons especially in road playoff games despite what they did last week to the tight Los Angeles Rams.  I think the Eagles will play with a chip on their shoulders and if Foles does not make the critical mistake I think the Eagles win a very close game.  The Eagle D must come up big on Saturday.  Look for a 23-20 score.  Eagles and Over

Titans Pats

The Line: Pats -13.5  48

Haven’t we been here before.  The Patriots a heavy favorite with another off the field distraction to try to derail the Killer B’s Super Bowl train.  There is not much to write about this game.  I see no shot the Titans win this game the only question is will the Pats cover the game.  I am going with 30-13 Patriots.  Pats and Under

Saints Helmet Vikes

 

The Line Vikings – 5  46.5

This is the marquee game of the weekend.  Both can easily get to the Super Bowl.  The Vikings playing with a backup QB pretty much the whole season has relied on their great defense as Case Keenum has evolved into a dependable starting QB.  The Saints have the better offense and the Vikings have the better defense.  But this is not your typical Saints team.  Their offense is more balanced with two RB’s who can dominate the game.  Add in Drew Brees and the genius of Sean Payton and you have a very formidable offense.  The Saints are my pick to get to the Super Bowl and I am not backing off that.  I look for the Saints to run the ball and Brees to take his shots down the field when they become open.  I do think there could be more scoring in this game than most think.  I like the Saints winning this game 26 to 17.  Saints and Under.

Jags Steelers

 

The Line Steelers -7  41

And finally the grudge match game.  Jacksonville has a mean and nasty defense who already shut down the Steelers in Pittsburgh although that was very early in the season.  I don’t think the Steelers offense will be controlled like that again.  But Blake Bortles must play alot better then he did last week.  10 points will not be enough to secure a victory in Pittsburgh.  I am not a fan of Bortles but I do like the rest of the team.  Look for Pittsburgh to get an early lead and make the Jags and Bortles play catch up.  There is plenty of bulletin board material going around for this game.  It would be very hard for me to even think the Steelers will be looking ahead to the Pats.  I am taking the Steelers 24-10.  So Steelers and Under.

 

NCAA National Championship Game

Georgia Alabama

In the all SEC National Championship we have the Georgia Bulldogs against the Crimson Tide of Alabama.  The biggest debate was who was going to get the 4th spot in the playoffs.  Would a 2 loss Big Ten Champion Ohio State get the spot or perhaps an undefeated UCF team playing a light schedule get in.  No we had one loss non conference champion Alabama getting the nod.  While no one can ever question the talent that Alabama possesses it’s the year they had.  The SEC was top heavy this year and he rest of the conference was weak,  Clemson was the one seed but you can argue they didn’t deserve to be the one and Alabama soundly won the trilogy game between the two programs.  Hopefully we won’t have to see this again.  Georgia won a classic double overtime game against Oklahoma.  A game that could have easily gone the other way as the Sooners blew a big lead and played scared at the end of the game.
As for this game I think Bama is the better team and they might be tired if hearing they don’t belong in this game and come out strong.  It will be close but I have Bama winning 34-24.  But a Bama blowout will go a long way to silence alot of people on the subject of Bama not belonging in this game.

Wild Card Predictions 1-7-18

After a day when both road teams won on the first Saturday of the wild card round will the chalk come out today.

In the first game:

Bills Jaguars

The Bills got into the playoffs due to Andy Dalton throwing a late TD pass in Baltimore to knock the Ravens out of the playoffs and make Dalton a king amongst the Bills Mafia in Buffalo.  The Jaguars have been a very solid team all year long and by winning the division they get to play in the good weather of Jacksonville.  This is a very interesting game to talk about.  The Jags are a complete team if you take out the QB.  In fact most people feel if the Jags had a more established QB the they would be the AFC favorites due to their stingy defense.  The Bills behind Tyrod Taylor who was benched for a game this year are a great story having not made the playoffs in 17 years snapping the longest current drought in the NFL.  They are a very live dog in this game now that Shady McCoy is going to play.  As good as the Jaguars are they are still new to the playoffs just like the Bills and both coaches are making their NFL playoff coaching debut.  I am looking for a low scoring conservatively called offensive game with either team waiting for the opponent to make a mistake.  Taylor has the element of his legs and he might need to make things happen running for the Bills to win this game,  Bortles is prone to make mistakes.  Look for both teams to run the bell early and perhaps the team willing to open up the game first and make plays to get the lead will win.  Neither team is good at playing from behind.  I am very much a chalk guy and with both dogs winning out right yesterday and both games staying under you would think the home teams are going to prevail today.  I do like the Jags to win but not cover and I have a feeling there may be more points scored today that people think.  I am still going with the Bills plus the 8 and the under of 40.  Look for a final score of 20-17.

 

The last game of the weekend.

Panthers Saints

 

The Saints started 0 -2 and then ran off a long winning streak in very un Saint like fashion with a great running game and better defense than they have had for a long time.  The Panthers had a very up an down year with Cam Newton still having such bad offensive games that it makes you wonder if h should still be playing QB in this league.  Gregg Olsen is still not fully healed which is a huge factor as he is in my opinion the best offensive player outside of Cam.  Christian McCaffrey is a really good player and if Newton gets more consistency this team has alot of talent on offense for years to come.  However the Saints are at home where they are extremely difficult to beat.  But this is not your normal Saint team.  They are my pick to go to the Super Bowl this year so I have them winning a comfortable game with a final score of 33-16.  I think they get the lead and run the ball and play smart defense.  I think the Panthers need to score first and often to win this game.  Let’s see if Sean Payton sticks to what got him here and that is the big running game.  So I am picking the Saints -7 and the Over 47.5